What to Do in This Economy - Acquire, Grow Organically Or Just Hold On?

Equity values of public companies across the boardHurewitz goes on to say that sales should not be cut
have plummeted; a new administration is upon us,if a dedicated selling effort is required to grow or
and the liquidity of the US and major global financialmaintain revenue. However, many companies cut
markets is problematic at best. But what's happeningboth as a way to save costs without a critical look
on Main Street? Is it a good time to acquire? Shouldat how this fits their long term strategies.
business wait to see what happens, or is this a goodRatcheting up sales and marketing efforts in a down
time to implement an organic growth plan?economy runs counter to what many companies'
Today's overall financial market conditions clearlysenior managements feel forced to do to preserve
have reduced some valuations among middle marketcash. However, there are many reasons not to cut,
companies seeking acquirers (although notbut rather redouble these efforts in market
dramatically - on average, perhaps 10% - 20% offdownturn. If companies have done their research;
their highs of two years ago). Certainly, some valuesfind that they can compete effectively; that sales
have been less impacted by this economy thanare to be had, and they have capital to increase sales
others. Many, perhaps most of these companies areand/or marketing - doing so while many of their
otherwise quite sound. In this respect, they maycompetitors retreat, may prove an excellent strategy
present excellent opportunities for would-be acquirersin a bad economy. Plus, you may find you can
seeking to augment their own organic growthnegotiate much more aggressively with your
through the acquisition of one or more firms that fitadvertising vendors.
the acquirers' near- and long-term corporateTwo studies to note:
strategies.McGraw-Hill Research analyzed 600 companies
Industries experiencing depressed valuations todaycovering 16 different SIC industries from 1980
offer excellent opportunities for well-prepared,through 1985. The results showed that
well-positioned acquirers to buy competitors orbusiness-to-business firms that maintained or
complete vertical acquisitions at more favorableincreased their advertising expenditures during the
multiples than in recent years. The market also is1981-1982 recession averaged significantly higher sales
favoring prospective buyers with more favorablegrowth. By 1985, sales of companies that were
terms and conditions. One critical caveat: cash onceaggressive recession advertisers had risen 256%
again is king, as it has become significantly moreover those that didn't keep up their advertising!
difficult to execute leveraged transactions. However,In an analysis of the 1990-91 recession, Penton
earnouts and other forms of deferred compensationResearch Services and Coopers & Lybrand, in
have become the norm in today's M&Aconjunction with Business Science International, found
landscape and can be expected for sellers to garnerthat cuts in advertising during a recession decrease
full credit for future value of cash-flows and contractnet income over the long haul. Companies that
backlog as buyers remain skittish about what maymaintained advertising during the recession enjoyed
loom around the corner. When structured correctly,measurably higher net income gains not only during
earnouts or seller notes benefit both buyer and sellerthe recession, but even more so two years after the
with an option that can bridge the gap of higher sellerrecession, taking business away from their
valuation expectations and a reduction of risk for thecompetitors in the process.
buyer.Another strategy to achieve growth is by acquiring
Companies wishing to acquire another business shouldsales talent. With many companies initiating hiring
always conduct a strategic study on how synergiesfreezes or cutting back, the available talent pool has
or market growth will be gained. Given near-termgrown considerably in most industries. This has given
market uncertainties, taking a little more time for thisemployers better opportunities to hire highly qualified
analysis to ensure targets are suitable and the timingcandidates who can hit the ground running. Good
is right is to be expected. Buyers will also need tobusiness developers already have established valuable
budget into their integration and growth plans somerelationships and contacts that should prove
additional reserves which will allow for unforeseenadvantageous for their new employers from day
consequences of potential short-term decreases inone. Companies that ramp up their sales forces while
market demand. Before implementing an acquisitiontheir competitors are laying off talent may find that
plan, would-be acquirers first should ensure that theyit's much easier to get in the door and close deals.
have the bandwidth - advisors, staffing and, no lessCompanies whose senior management command
important, the dry powder (cash reserves) - to closeclear strategies, reliable competitive intelligence and
one or more prospective acquisitions.sufficient financial and managerial resources will find
Today's economy also presents very goodthis an excellent time to make concerted efforts to
opportunities for organic growth. Strategy consultantreact opportunistically, capturing market share at a
Josh Hurewitz, PhD, writes in his newsletter Keydiscount. Both approaches to growth - either through
Business Issues for the Middle Market, that if thisbusiness acquisition or organic customer acquisition -
market is forcing a company to "...make significantconstitute smart strategies in down economies.
changes to its approach to the market (getting newCompanies that pursue such strategies and execute
customers, new market channels or new productswell should find that their efforts will help them grow
and services), then marketing should not necessarilytoday while positioning them for success in an
be cut, and it might even need to be enhanced."eventual market recovery.